By Dan “The Price Man”
July 6, 2025
Hey folks, it’s Dan the Price Man, recently, the Big Beautiful Bill passed, and a lot of people are happy, or they’re upset, but no one so far has been more upset, than Trump’s used-to-be advisor, Elon Musk.
Elon Musk dropped a bombshell on July 4, 2025—Independence Day, no less—announcing the birth of the “America Party” after Trump’s “Big Beautiful Bill” slithered through Congress and onto the president’s desk.
It’s a bold move, a middle finger to the so-called “uniparty” system he’s railing against, and it’s got the internet buzzing. I get the appeal of disruption. Musk’s a guy who’s built rockets, electric cars, and a social media empire—hell, he’s got guts.
But let’s cut the crap. Third parties in America are a pipe dream that’s never worked and never will. The closest a third party ever got to winning an election is Theodore Roosevelt’s Bull Moose Party in 1912, and even that was a spectacular bust that handed the White House to Woodrow Wilson.
This “America” Party? It’s not going to win jack—it’s just going to muck up the works for Republicans and Democrats, siphoning votes and sparking chaos. And Musk, for all his genius, sucks at politics.
His back-and-forth with Trump over this bill proves it. He’s got no clue how the game’s played, and he’d be smart to stick to building Teslas and leave the political arena to those who can handle it.
The Big Announcement: Musk’s July 4th Gambit
It was a Fourth of July like no other. While fireworks lit up the sky, Elon Musk lit up X with a poll: “Independence Day is the perfect time to ask if you want independence from the two-party (some would say uniparty) system! Should we create the America Party?” Over 1.2 million votes poured in, with 65.4% screaming “yes.”
By July 5, with Trump signing the “Big Beautiful Bill” into law—a $3.3 trillion monster Musk called “insane” and “pork-filled”—he doubled down. “By a factor of 2 to 1, you want a new political party and you shall have it! Today, the America Party is formed to give you back your freedom,” he posted, his words dripping with defiance.
It’s a slick move, timed to ride the patriotic wave, and it’s got his 220 million followers hyped. The guy’s a master at grabbing attention—Tesla’s sleek designs, SpaceX’s rocket landings, X’s chaotic rebirth all prove it.
But here’s the thing, ANYONE CAN VOTE ON THAT POLL! That means people who don’t even live in America! Plus, let’s not forget that Musk advocates for dumb things such as H1-B visas! (Keep in mind, Microsoft laid off 9000+ people recently, meanwhile in the same breath, requested 6000+ H1B visa applicants)
Musk’s beef with the bill is personal and practical. He’s raged against its $7,500 EV tax credit cut, a hit to Tesla’s bottom line, and its gutting of green energy incentives—stuff he’s championed at SpaceX and SolarCity.
His X rants called out Republicans who voted for it, promising to primary them next year, and he’s even hinted at backing Kentucky’s Thomas Massie, a Trump critic.
Trump fired back, threatening to yank federal subsidies from Musk’s companies—billions that keep Tesla and SpaceX afloat—calling it a “FORTUNE” saved. It’s a public brawl that’s turned their bromance sour, with Musk accusing Trump of Epstein ties.
The drama’s juicy, but it’s also a glaring sign Musk’s out of his depth. He’s got the money—$450 billion net worth—and the platform, but politics isn’t a startup you can disrupt with cash and tweets. It’s a grind, a chess match, and Musk’s playing checkers.
Third Parties: A History of Failure, with One Near-Miss
Let’s get back to third parties. Third parties in America are a graveyard of good intentions. The system’s rigged—winner-take-all elections, state ballot access laws, and a two-party stranglehold make it a meat grinder for outsiders.
Look at the roll call: Ross Perot’s 1992 run with 19% of the vote didn’t snag a single Electoral College vote. Ralph Nader’s 2000 Green Party bid pulled 2.7% and handed Florida to Bush, screwing Gore. Even Gary Johnson’s Libertarian push in 2016 barely hit 3%.
These aren’t flukes; they’re proof the machine chews up third parties and spits them out. The closest we’ve come to a third-party win was Theodore Roosevelt’s Bull Moose Party in 1912, and even that was a glorious failure that changed nothing long-term.
Roosevelt, fresh off a 1901 presidency, was a titan—charismatic, battle-hardened, and pissed after losing the Republican nomination to William Howard Taft.
He launched the Progressive Party, dubbed Bull Moose, with a platform of trust-busting, labor rights, and conservation.
His campaign was a spectacle: 4 million votes, 88 Electoral votes, a bullet in his chest from an assassination attempt that he shrugged off to speak for 90 minutes.
But it split the Republican vote, giving Wilson 435 Electoral votes and the presidency. Roosevelt finished second, Taft third—humiliating for the GOP.
The party fizzled by 1916, absorbed or forgotten. It disrupted, sure, but it didn’t win. It handed power to the Democrats and faded into history books.
Musk’s America Party faces the same fate. He’s banking on the “80% in the middle” he claims are fed up with Democrats and Republicans—polls like Quantus Insights’ 40% support fuel his fire.
But numbers don’t equal ballots. California demands 75,000 signatures or 1.1 million votes to qualify; Texas requires 83,000. Every state’s a hurdle, and the DNC and RNC will lawyer up to block him.
Even with Musk’s billions, the legal fight could drain $100 million before a single vote’s cast. And voters? They’re loyal—90% identify with the two parties, per decades of data. Third parties don’t build loyalty; they siphon it, leaving chaos in their wake.
Disruption, Not Victory
Here’s the kicker: the America Party won’t win, but it’ll screw everything up. Third parties don’t topple the system—they play spoiler, splitting votes and handing victories to the other side.
Roosevelt’s Bull Moose run gutted Taft, letting Wilson sneak through. Perot’s 1992 19% likely tipped Clinton over Bush. Musk’s party, targeting disaffected Republicans and independents, risks the same.
With 57% of Republican men and 47% of male independents open to it, per recent polls, he could peel off enough GOP votes in 2026 midterms to flip swing districts to Democrats.
A 2-3% shift in tight races—like Florida or Ohio—could cost the RNC its House majority, echoing Nader’s 2000 Florida fiasco.
Democrats aren’t safe either. Musk’s techno-libertarian vibe—free speech, low taxes, anti-regulation—might lure moderates frustrated with progressive overreach. A 7% dent in blue strongholds like Michigan or Pennsylvania could weaken their grip, forcing a Republican surge.
It’s a double-edged sword, a voter blender that leaves both parties bloodied. The 2024 election’s razor-thin margins—Trump’s 49.8% to Harris’s 48.2%—show how fragile it is. A third party with 5% could swing it all, and Musk’s got the cash to make it messy. But messy isn’t winning—it’s just noise, a disruption that benefits nobody long-term.
Take my own lens: Musk’s throwing grenades without a plan, and the fallout will hit voters hardest. Red states might see blue governors; blue cities could get red mayors. It’s not a revolution—it’s a circus, and the audience loses.
Musk’s Skills: A Genius Out of His Element
Give Musk his due—he’s a beast at building. Tesla’s revolutionized cars, turning EVs from hippie toys to highway kings—sales hit 1.8 million in 2024 despite dips. SpaceX lands rockets like sci-fi dreams, launching 144 missions in 2023 alone.
X, for all its mess, rebooted social media with 500 million users by 2025, a platform where I’ve traded barbs and strategies. Neuralink’s probing brains, The Boring Company’s digging tunnels—his track record’s insane.
He’s a disruptor, a visionary who turned $2,000 into a $350 billion empire. That’s not luck; that’s skill, grit, and a mind that sees around corners.
But politics? He’s a fish out of water. Business is a meritocracy—build a better product, win. Politics is a swamp of egos, alliances, and rules Musk doesn’t grasp.
His Tesla whistleblower lawsuits and X moderation flip-flops—banning critics then crying free speech—show he can’t handle dissent, a death knell in D.C. His DOGE stint, cutting $190 billion in four months, was flashy but people liked DOGE, this didn’t mean they liked Elon.
The Trump feud seals it. Musk’s X posts calling the “Big Beautiful Bill” a “disgusting abomination” and Trump’s Truth Social jabs about subsidies expose a rookie mistake: public spats alienate allies.
Trump’s 60% approval holds firm; Musk’s -18% favorability tanks him. He’s got the money but not the touch.
I’ve seen this in gaming—strategy beats bravado. Musk’s political moves are all heat, no map. His primary threats against GOP lawmakers? Empty unless he’s got candidates—none named yet.
His America Party logo tease—sleek, abstract—looks cool but lacks substance. Politics demands patience, coalition-building, and grit he hasn’t shown. He’s a king in tech, a clown in Congress.
Advice for Musk: Stick to What You Know
Musk should ditch politics. He’s a titan in tech—build, innovate, win. Politics needs a different beast: negotiation, not disruption. His skills don’t translate—his DOGE exit after four months proves it. Stick to rockets, cars, and X.
Leave the swamp to those who can swim it. For me, it’s back to lifting and gaming—where I control the board. I will eventually go into politics myself, and I’m willing to bet, I’d suffice more as a candidate than the multi-billionaire himself. (Or Mr.Beast for that matter…)
Drop your take on X at @DanThePriceMan. Let’s keep it real.. Let’s hash it out.
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